Published October 7, 2026 in Market Update

Primary market has more room to negotiate than many sellers expect

By Savanna Schrader - Broken Bow Realtor
Real estate, Primary market

The one fact that changes what a seller should do right now: the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 9.3 months of supply in ZIP 74728 for the three months ending August 31, 2026. That means buyers have choices, and pricing sharp is the job.

Months of supply in Primary market (three months ending August 31, 2026)
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

For context, the National Association of Realtors put the national supply at 4.9 months, already the highest level in over ten years. Primary market is running nearly double that. Buyers here have real leverage.

What buyers are actually paying

The Real Estate Data Aggregator found homes sold for 96.9% of list price on average. That is down 1 point from the same months in 2025. It is a small dip, but it is real. Most sellers are getting close to their ask. Not every seller is.

Only 14.1% of homes sold above list price, down 2.3 points from a year ago. That means more than 8 in 10 homes sold at or below asking. Buyers who wait for the right home are finding room to talk.

Year-over-year change in key measures, three months ending August 31, 2026
Homes sold80.6%Pending sales31.5%Homes under contractwithin 2 weeks7.3%New listings8.6%Homes for sale-12.8%Sale-to-list ratio-1%Homes soldabove list price-2.3%
Real Estate Data Aggregator counts for ZIP 74728. Sales and pending activity rose sharply. The share of homes selling above list price and the sale-to-list ratio both slipped.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026
Sale price vs. list price, three months ending August 31, 2026
Average sale-to-list ratio
Down 1 point from 2025
Homes sold above list price
Down 2.3 points from 2025
Median sale price
Up 19.3% from 2025
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Prices are up, and so is activity

Here is the part that surprises people. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted a median sale price of $660,000, up 19.3% from the same three months in 2025. That is a big jump. At the same time, 121 homes sold, up 80.6% from a year ago. More homes are trading hands, and at higher prices.

Pending sales also rose 31.5% year over year, according to the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Buyers are moving. They are just moving carefully, and they know they have options.

Market activity, three months ending August 31, 2026
Homes sold
Up 80.6% from 2025
Pending sales
Up 31.5% from 2025
New listings
Up 8.6% from 2025
Homes for sale
Down 12.8% from 2025
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

How long homes are sitting

The Real Estate Data Aggregator put the median days on market at 104 days. That is 19 days shorter than a year ago, which is good news. But 104 days is still a long time. Homes that are priced well are moving faster. The ones that sit are telling you something.

Only 14.9% of homes went under contract within two weeks of listing, up 7.3 points from 2025. That share is growing, which means sharp pricing is working. The rest of the market takes longer.

Median days on market (19 days shorter than a year ago)
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

The rate picture right now

Freddie Mac put the 30-year fixed rate at 7.28% as of October 1, 2026. The 15-year fixed came in at 6.60%. Realtor.com noted that rates crossed 7% in late September for the first time since January 2025. That affects what buyers can afford, and it shapes how hard they negotiate.

Nationally, the Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose 2.1% year over year between the second quarter of 2025 and the second quarter of 2026. Primary market's 19.3% price gain, counted by the Real Estate Data Aggregator, runs well ahead of that national pace.

Rate and price context, as of early October 2026
30-year fixed rate (Freddie Mac)
As of October 1, 2026
15-year fixed rate (Freddie Mac)
As of October 1, 2026
U.S. price growth year over year (Federal Housing Finance Agency)
Q2 2025 to Q2 2026
Sources: Freddie Mac, read Oct 7, 2026; Federal Housing Finance Agency, Aug 25, 2026

What this means if you are selling

Supply is high. Rates are above 7%. Buyers know it. That does not mean your home will not sell. It means the price you pick matters more than last year's momentum. Homes priced well are selling, and selling faster than a year ago.

The 19.3% price gain the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted is real. But that average covers a wide range. Some homes drove that number up. Others sat for months. Where your home lands depends on the street, the condition and the price.

What this means if you are buying

With 9.3 months of supply, you have room to ask questions and take your time. Homes that have sat past 104 days may have more flexibility. Not every seller will move on price, but more will than in a tighter market.

In short
  1. Primary market has more supply than the national average and homes are selling at 96.9% of list price.
  2. Prices are up 19.3% from a year ago, and 121 homes sold in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Sellers who price carefully are moving homes.
  3. Buyers have real room to negotiate, especially on homes that have been sitting.

One more thing: these numbers cover all of ZIP 74728. One street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code. If you want to know what the numbers look like right where you live, just reach out.

Your next step

(918) 839-1464

Text me your address and I will send back how your Primary market home sits against what actually sold near you in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.

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Where these numbers came from

Savanna Schrader - Broken Bow Realtor is a licensed real estate agent with Real Broker, LLC. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.