Published October 7, 2026 in Market Update

Which Price Range Gave Sellers the Best Shot?

By Savanna Schrader - Broken Bow Realtor

Real estate, Market Update Clean 74728

Which price range would you want to be in if you were selling today? I pulled every listing through October 1, 2026, and the answer is not what most people guess.

Under $900K or $900K and up: which side would you pick?

The $500K to $650K range looks like the sweet spot on paper. It sits right near the middle sold price for the whole market, which was $646,500. But it was actually the weakest range of the four. Only 21.1% of those sellers got at or over what they first asked.

The picture gets harder when you look at homes that gave up without a sale. Among homes that first asked in the $600K to $750K range, 44.5% of all attempts never found a buyer. That is nearly half. The $450K to $600K first-asking range was almost as bad, at 41.4%.

Homes priced at $900,000 and up had the best shot: 36.6% sold at or over what they first asked, the highest rate of any of the four sold-price ranges. The higher end held up in a way the middle did not.

That does not mean the middle is hopeless. The $650K to $900K range came in at 27.4%, better than the two ranges below it. And among homes that first asked in the $750K to $1M range, 33% gave up without selling, the second-lowest give-up rate of any first-asking range, just above the $1M and up range at 30.8%. So there is a real gap between the middle of the market and the upper end, and it shows up in both ways of measuring. The question for any seller is where their home actually sits, not where they hope it does. Which range do you think your home falls into?

What this means if you are selling or buying right now

If you are selling, the price you set at the start matters more than most people think. Homes that gave up without a sale first asked a typical $615,000. Homes that sold first asked a typical $650,000, a difference of $35,000. That is not a typo. The homes that sold actually started higher. Pricing too low does not always protect you. Right now there are 357 homes for sale and it would take 11.3 months to sell them all at the recent pace, so buyers have choices. Getting your price right from the first day is the one thing you can control. And because the $900K and up range outperformed every other range on the share-that-got-asking measure, sellers near that threshold have a real reason to think carefully about which side of the line they land on before they pick a number. A home priced just under $900K sits in a range where only 27.4% got asking or more. A home priced just over sits in the range where 36.6% did. That 15.5 percentage point gap is wide enough to matter. It also shows up in the give-up numbers. The $600K to $750K first-asking range had a 44.5% give-up rate. The $750K to $1M first-asking range dropped to 33%. The $1M and up range dropped further to 30.8%. The direction is clear: as the price climbs past the middle, sellers have been doing better, not worse.

If you are buying, the supply picture is working in your favor. Over 6 months of supply generally favors buyers, and this market sits at 11.3 months. At the same time, 41.6% of sellers paid money back to their buyer at closing, with a typical amount of $10,700. That is a real number worth asking about in any offer. One thing to keep in mind: the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 7.28% as of October 1, 2026, up from 6.34% a year ago (Freddie Mac). That affects how far your budget stretches, so running the numbers before you make an offer is worth the hour. With 108 homes that came off the market without selling now back up for sale, there are options that were not available a few months ago. Some of those sellers have already adjusted their expectations once. That is worth knowing before you sit down at the table.